HOW THE MODERN MIDDLE EAST MAP CAME TO BE DRAWN
By David Fromkin
Smithsonian Magazine, May91, Vol. 22 Issue 2, p132, 15p
When the Ottoman Empire collapsed in 1918,
the British created new borders (and rulers) to keep the peace and protect
their interests
The dictator of Iraq claimed--falsely--that until 1914 Kuwait had
been administered from Iraq, that historically Kuwait was a part of Iraq, that
the separation of Kuwait from Iraq was an arbitrary decision of Great Britain's
after World War I. The year was 1961; the Iraqi dictator was Abdul-Karim Qasim;
and the dispatch of British troops averted a threatened invasion.
Iraq, claiming that it had never recognized the British-drawn
frontier with Kuwait, demanded full access to the Persian Gulf; and when Kuwait
failed to agree, Iraqi tanks and infantry attacked Kuwait. The year was 1973;
the Iraqi dictator was Ahmad Hasan al-Bakr; when other Arab states came to
Kuwait's support, a deal was struck, Kuwait made a payment of money to Iraq,
and the troops withdrew.
August 2, 1990. At 2 A.M. Iraqi forces swept across the Kuwaiti
frontier. Iraqs dictator, Saddam Hussein, declared that the frontier between
Iraq and Kuwait was invalid, a creation of the British after World War I, and
that Kuwait really belonged to Iraq.
It was, of course, true, as one Iraqi dictator after another
claimed, that the exact Iraq-Kuwait frontier was a line drawn on an empty map
by a British civil servant in the early 1920s. But Kuwait began to emerge as an
independent entity in the early 17OOs--two centuries before Britain invented
Iraq. Moreover, most other frontiers between states of the Middle
East were also creations of the British (or the French). The map
of the Arab Middle East was drawn by the victorious
Allies when they took over these lands from the Ottoman Empire after World War
I. By proposing to nullify that map, Saddam Hussein at a minimum was trying to
turn the clock back by almost a century.
A hundred years ago, when Ottoman governors in Basra were futilely
attempting to assert authority over the autonomous sheikdom of Kuwait, most of
the Arabic-speaking Middle East was at least
nominally part of the Ottoman Empire. It had been so for hundreds of years and
would remain so until the end of World War 1.
The Ottomans, a dynasty, not a nationality, were originally a band
of Turkish warriors who first galloped onto the stage of history in the 13th
century. By the early 20th century the Ottoman Empire, which once had stretched
to the gates of Vienna, was shrinking rapidly, though it still ruled perhaps 20
million to 25 million people in the Middle East and
elsewhere, comprising perhaps a dozen or more different nationalities. It was a
ramshackle Muslim empire, held together by the glue of Islam, and the lot of
its non-Muslim population (perhaps 5 million) was often unhappy
and sometimes tragic.
In the year 1900, if you traveled from the United States to the Middle
East, you might have landed in Egypt, part of the Ottoman Empire
in name but in fact governed by British "advisers." The Egyptian Army
was commanded by an English general, and the real ruler of the country was the
British Agent and Consul-General--a position to which the crusty Horatio
Herbert Kitchener was appointed in 1911.
The center of your social life in all likelihood would have been the
British enclave in Cairo, which possessed (wrote one of Lord Kitchener's aides)
"all the narrowness and provincialism of an English garrison town."
The social schedule of British officials and their families revolved around the
balls given at each of the leading hotels in turn, six nights out of seven, and
before dark, around the Turf Club and the Sporting Club on the island of El
Gezira. Throughout Egypt, Turkish officials, Turkish police and a Turkish army
were conspicuous by their absence. Outside British confines you found yourself
not in a Turkish-speaking country but in an Arabic-speaking one. Following the
advice of the Baedeker, you'd likely engage a dragoman--a translator and
guide--of whom there were about 90 in Cairo ("all more or less intelligent
and able, but scarcely a half of the number are trustworthy").
On leaving Egypt, if you turned north through the Holy Land and the
Levant toward Anatolia, you finally would have encountered the reality of
Ottoman government, however corrupt and inefficient, though many
cities--Jerusalem (mostly Jewish), Damascus (mostly Arab) and Smyrna, now Izmir
(mostly Greek)--were not at all Turkish in character or population.
Heading south by steamer down the Red Sea and around the enormous
Arabian Peninsula was a very different matter. Nominally Ottoman, Arabia was in
large part a vast, ungoverned desert wilderness through which roamed bedouin
tribes knowing no law but their own. In those days Abdul Aziz ibn Saud, the
youthful scion of deposed lords of most of the peninsula, was living in exile,
dreaming of a return to reclaim his rights and establish his dominion. In the
port towns on the Persian Gulf, ruling sheiks paid lip service to Ottoman rule
but in fact their sheikdoms were protectorates of Great Britain. Not long after
you passed Kuwait (see the map on page 147) you reached Basra, in what is now
Iraq, up a river formed by the union of the great Tigris and Euphrates.
A muddy, unhealthy port of heterogeneous population,
Basra was then the capital of a province, largely Shiite Arab, ruled by an Ottoman
governor. Well north of it, celebrated for archaeological sites like Babylon
and Nippur, which drew tourists, lay Baghdad, then a heavily Jewish city (along
with Jerusalem, one of the two great Jewish cities of Asia). Baghdad was the
administrative center of an Ottoman province that was in large part Sunni Arab.
Farther north still was a third Ottoman province, with a large population
of Kurds. Taken together, the three roughly equaled the present area of Iraq.
Ottoman rule in some parts of the Middle East
clearly was more imaginary than real. And even in those portions of the empire
that Turkish governors did govern, the population was often too
diverse to be governed effectively by a single regime. Yet the hold of the
Turkish sultan on the empire's peoples lingered on. Indeed, had World War I not
intervened, the Ottoman Empire might well have lasted many decades more.
In its origins, the war that would change the map of the Middle
East had nothing to do with that region. How the Ottoman Empire
came to be involved in the war at all-and lost it-and how the triumphant Allies
found themselves in a position to redesign the Middle East
lands the Turks had ruled, is one of the most fascinating stories of the 20th
century, rich in consequences that we are still struggling with today.
The story begins with one man, a tiny, vain, strutting man addicted
to dramatic gestures and uniforms. He was Enver Pasha, and he mistook himself
for a sort of Napoleon. Of modest origins, Enver, as a junior officer in the
Ottoman Army, joined the Young Turks, a secret society that was plotting
against the Ottoman regime. In 1913, Enver led a Young Turk raiding party that
overthrew the government and killed the Minister of War. In 1914, at the age of
31, he became the Ottoman Minister of War himself, married the niece of the
sultan and moved into a palace.
As a new political figure Enver scored a major, instant success. The
Young Turks for years had urgently sought a European ally that would promise to
protect the Ottoman Empire against other European powers. Britain, France and
Russia had each been approached and had refused; but on August 1, 1914, just as
Germany was about to invade Belgium to begin World War I, Enver wangled a
secret treaty with the kaiser pledging to protect the Ottoman domains.
Unaware of Enver's coup, and with war added to the equation, Britain
and France began wooing Turkey too, while the Turks played off one side against
the other. By autumn the German Army's plan to knock France out of the war in
six weeks had failed. Needing help, Germany urged the Ottoman Empire to join
the war by attacking Russia.
Though Enver's colleagues in the Turkish government were opposed to
war, Enver had a different idea. To him the time seemed ripe: in the first
month of the war German armies overwhelmingly turned back a Russian attack on East
Prussia, and a collapse of the czar's armies appeared imminent. Seeing a chance
to share in the spoils of a likely German victory over Russia, Enver entered
into a private conspiracy with the German admiral commanding the powerful
warship Goeben and its companion vessel, the Breslau, which had taken refuge in
Turkish waters at the outset of hostilities.
During the last week of October, Enver secretly arranged for the
Goeben and the Breslau to escape into the Black Sea and steam toward Russia.
Flying the Ottoman flag, the Germans then opened fire on the Russian coast.
Thinking themselves attacked by Turks, the Russians declared war. Russia's
allies, Britain and France, thus found themselves at war with the Ottoman
Empire too. By needlessly plunging the empire into war, Enver had put
everything in the Middle East up for grabs. In that
sense, he was the father of the modern Middle East.
Had Enver never existed, the Turkish flag might even yet be flying--if only in
some confederal way--over Beirut and Damascus, Baghdad and Jerusalem.
Great Britain had propped up the Ottoman Empire for generations as a
buffer against Russian expansionism. Now, with Russia as Britain's shaky ally,
once the war had been won and the Ottomans overthrown, the Allies would be able
to reshape the entire Middle East. It would be one
of those magic moments in history when fresh starts beckon and dreams become
realities.
"What is to prevent the Jews having Palestine and restoring a
real Judaea?" asked H. G. Wells, the British novelist, essayist and
prophet of a rational future for mankind. The Greeks, the French and the
Italians also had claims to Middle East territory.
And naturally, in Cairo, Lord Kitchener's aides soon began to contemplate a
future plan for an Arab world to be ruled by Egypt, which in turn would
continue to be controlled by themselves.
At the time, the Allies already had their hands full with war
against Germany on the Western Front. They resolved not to be distracted by the
Middle East until later. The issues and ambitions
there were too divisive. Hardly had the Ottoman Empire entered the war,
however, when Enver stirred the pot again. He took personal command of the
Ottoman Third Army on the Caucasus frontier and, in the dead of winter,
launched a foolhardy attack against fortified positions on high ground. His
offensive was hopeless, since it was both amateurishly planned and executed,
but the czar's generals panicked anyway. The Russian government begged Lord
Kitchener (now serving in London as Secretary of State for War) to stage a more
or less instant diversionary action. The result was the Allied attack on the
Dardanelles, the strait that eventually leads to Constantinople (now Istanbul).
Enver soon lost about 86,000 of his 100,000 men; the few, bloodied
survivors straggled back through icy mountain passes. A German observer noted
that Enver's army had "suffered a disaster which for rapidity and
completeness is without parallel in military history." But nobody in the
Russian government or high command bothered to tell the British that mounting a
Dardanelles naval attack was no longer necessary. So on the morning of February
19, 1915, British ships fired the opening shots in what became a tragic campaign.
Initially, the British Navy seemed poised to take Constantinople,
and Russia panicked again. What if the British, having occupied Constantinople,
were to hold onto it? The 50 percent of Russia's export trade flowing through
the strait would then do so only with British permission. Czar Nicholas II
demanded immediate assurance that Constantinople would be Russia's in the
postwar world. Fearing Russia might withdraw from the war, Britain and France
agreed. In return, Russia offered to support British and French claims in other
parts of the Middle East.
With that in mind, on April 8, 1915, the British Prime Minister
appointed a committee to define Britain's postwar goals in the Middle
East. It was a committee dominated by Lord Kitchener through his
personal representative, 36-year-old Sir Mark Sykes, one of many remarkable
characters, including Winston Churchill and T. E. Lawrence, to be involved in
the remaking (and remapping) of the Middle East.
A restless soul who had moved from school to school as a child,
Sykes left college without graduating, and thereafter never liked to stay long
in one spot. A Tory Member of Parliament, before the war he had traveled widely
in Asiatic Turkey, publishing accounts of his journeys. Sykes' views tended to
be passionate but changeable, and his talent for clever exaggeration sometimes
carried over into his politics.
As a traditional Tory he had regarded the sultan's domains as a
useful buffer protecting Britain's road to India against Britain's imperial
rivals, the czar chief among them. Only 15 months earlier, Sykes was warning
the House of Commons that "the disappearance of the Ottoman Empire must be
the first step towards the disappearance of our own." Yet between 1915 and
1919, he busily planned the dismantling of the Ottoman Empire.
The Allied attack on the Dardanelles ended with Gallipoli, a
disaster told and retold in books and films. Neither that defeat, nor the
darkest days of 1916-17, when it looked for a while as though the Allies might
lose the war, stopped British planning about how to cut up the Turkish Middle
East. Steadily but secretly Sykes worked on. As the fight to
overthrow the Ottoman Empire grew more intense, the elements he had to take
into account grew more complex.
It was clear that the British needed to maintain control over the
Suez Canal, and all the rest of the route to their prized colonial possession,
India. They needed to keep the Russians and Germans and Italians and French in
check. Especially the French, who had claims on Syria. But with millions of men
committed to trench warfare in Europe, they could not drain off forces for the Middle
East. Instead, units of the British Indian Army along with other
Commonwealth forces attacked in the east in what are now Iraq and
Iran, occupying Basra, Baghdad and eventually Mosul. Meanwhile, Allied liaison
officers, including notably T. E. Lawrence, began encouraging the smallish
group of Arabian tribesmen following Emir (later King) Hussein of the Hejaz,
who had rebelled against the Turks, to fight a guerrilla campaign against
Turkish forces.
Throughout 1917, in and near the Hejaz area of Arabia (see map), the
Arabs attacked the railway line that supported Turkish troops in Medina. The
"Arab Revolt" had little military effect on the outcome of the war,
yet the fighting brought to the fore, as British clients and potential Arab
leaders, not only Hussein of the Hejaz, but two of his sons, Faisal and
Abdullah. Both were deadly rivals of Ibn Saud, who by then had become a rising
power in Arabia and a client of the British too.
British officials in Cairo deluded themselves and others into
believing that the whole of the Arabic-speaking half of the Ottoman Empire
might rise up and come over to the Allied side. When the time came, the Arab
world did not follow the lead of Hussein, Abdullah and Faisal. But Arab
aspirations and British gratitude began to loom large in British, and Arab,
plans for the future. Sykes now felt he had to take Arab ambitions into account
in his future planning, though he neglected those of Ibn Saud (father of
today's Saudi king), who also deserved well of Britain.
By 1917 Sykes was also convinced that it was vital for the British
war effort to win Jewish support against Germany, and that pledging support for
Zionism could win it. That year his efforts and those of others resulted in the
publication of a statement by Arthur James Balfour, the British Foreign
Secretary, expressing Britain's support for the establishment of a Jewish
national home in Palestine.
The year 1917 proved to be a turning point. In the wake of its
revolution Russia pulled out of the war, but the entrance by the United States
on the Allied side insured the Allies a victory--if they could hold on long
enough for U.S. troops to arrive in force. In the Middle East,
as British India consolidated its hold on areas that are now part of Iraq, Gen.
Edmund Allenby's Egyptian-based British army began fighting its way north from
Suez to Damascus. Lawrence and a force of Arab raiders captured the Red Sea
port of Aqaba (near the point where Israel and Jordan now meet). Then, still
other Arabs, with Faisal in command, moved north to harass the Turkish flank.
By October 1918, Allenby had taken Syria and Lebanon, and was poised
to invade what is now Turkey. But there was no need to do so, because on
October 31 the Ottoman Empire surrendered.
As the Peace Conference convened in Paris, in February 1919, Sykes,
who had been rethinking Britain's design for the Middle East,
suddenly fell ill and died. At first there was nobody to take his place as the
British government's overall Middle East planner.
Prime Minister David Lloyd George took personal charge in many Middle
East matters. But more and more, as the months went by, Winston
Churchill had begun to play a major role, gradually superseding the others.
Accordingly, early that year the ambitious 45-year-old politician
was asked by the Prime Minister to serve as both War Minister and Air Minister.
("Of course," Lloyd George wrote Churchill, "there will be but
one salary!") Maintaining the peace in the captured--and now
occupied--Arab Middle East was among Churchill's
new responsibilities.
Cheerful, controversial and belligerent, Churchill was not yet the
revered figure who would so inspire his countrymen and the world in 1940.
Haunted by the specter of a brilliant father, he had won fame and high office
early, but was widely distrusted, in part for having switched political
parties. Churchill's foresighted administration of the Admiralty in the summer
of 1914 won universal praise, but then the botched Dardanelles campaign,
perhaps unfairly, was blamed on him. As a Conservative newspaper put it,
"we have watched his brilliant and erratic course in the confident
expectation that sooner or later he would make a mess of anything he
undertook." In making Churchill minister of both War and Air in 1919,
Lloyd George was giving his protege a try at a political comeback.
By the end of the war, everyone was so used to the bickering among
the Allies about who was going to get what in the postwar Middle East
that the alternative--nobody taking anything-simply didn't enter into the
equation. Churchill was perhaps the only statesman to consider that
possibility. He foresaw that many problems would arise from trying to impose a
new political design on so troubled a region, and thought it unwise to make the
attempt. Churchill argued, in fact, for simply retaining a reformed version of
the Ottoman Empire. Nobody took him seriously.
After the war, a British army of a million men, the only cohesive
military force in the region, briefly occupied the Middle East.
Even as his real work began, however, Churchill was confronted with demands
that the army, exhausted from years of war, be demobilized. He understood what
meeting those demands meant. Relying on that army, Prime Minister Lloyd George
had decided to keep the whole Arab Middle East
under British influence; in the words he once used about Palestine: "We
shall be there by conquest and shall remain." Now Churchill repeatedly
warned that once British troops were withdrawn, Britain would not be able to
impose its terms.
Lloyd George had predicted that it would take about a week to agree
on the terms of peace to be imposed on the defeated Ottoman Empire. Instead it
took nearly two years. By then, in Churchill's words, the British army of
occupation had long since "melted away," with the dire consequences
he predicted.
In Egypt, demonstrations, strikes and riots broke out. In Arabia,
Ibn Saud, though himself a British client, defeated and threatened to destroy
Britain's protege Hussein. In Turkey, the defeated Enver had long since fled
the country to find refuge in Berlin. From there he journeyed to Russia,
assumed leadership of Bukhara (in what is now the Uzbek Republic of the USSR)
in its struggle for independence from Moscow, and was killed in battle against
the Red Army of the Soviet Union in 1922. Turkish nationalists under the great
Ottoman general Mustafa Kemal (later known as Kemal Ataturk) rebelled against
the Allied-imposed treaty and later proclaimed the national state that is
modern Turkey.
In Palestine, Arabs rioted against Jews. In what is now Saddam
Hussein's Iraq, armed revolts by the tribes, sparked in the first instance by
the imposition of taxes, caused thousands of casualties. "How much
longer," the outraged London Times asked, "are valuable lives to be
sacrificed in the vain endeavour to impose upon the Arab population
an elaborate and expensive administration which they never asked for and do not
want?"
By the end of 1920, Lloyd George's Middle East
policy was under attack from all sides. Churchill, who had warned all along
that peacetime Britain, in the grip of an economic collapse, had neither the
money, the troops, nor the will to coerce the Middle East,
was proved right--and placed even more directly in charge. On New Year's Day
1921 he was appointed Colonial Secretary, and soon began to expand his powers,
consolidating within his new department responsibility for all Britain's
domains in Arabic-speaking Asia.
He assembled his staff by combing the government for its ablest and
most experienced officials. The one offbeat appointment was T. E. Lawrence. A
young American journalist and promoter named Lowell Thomas, roaming the Middle
East in search of a story, had found Lawrence dressed in Arab
robes, and proceeded to make him world-famous as "Lawrence of
Arabia." A complex personality, Lawrence was chronically insubordinate,
but Churchill admired all the wonderful stories he'd heard of Lawrence's
wartime exploits.
Seeking to forge a working consensus among his staff in London and
his men in the field, Churchill invited them all to a conference that opened in
Cairo on March 12, 1921. During the ten-day session held in the Semiramis
Hotel, about 40 experts were in attendance. "Everybody Middle
East is here," wrote Lawrence.
Egypt was not on the agenda. Its fate was being settled separately
by its new British proconsul, Lord Allenby. In 1922 he established it as an
independent kingdom, still largely subject to British control under terms of a
unilateral proclamation that neither Egypt's politicians nor its new king,
Fuad, accepted.
All Britain's other wartime conquests--the lands now called Israel,
the West Bank, Jordan and Iraq-were very much on the agenda, while the fate of
Syria and Lebanon, which Britain had also conquered, was on everybody's mind.
In the immediate aftermath of the war, it was control of Syria that had caused
the most problems, as Lloyd George tried to keep it for Britain by placing it
under the rule of Lawrence's comrade-in-arms, Prince Faisal, son of Hussein.
After Syria declared its independence, the French fought back. Occupying all of
Syria-Lebanon, they drove Faisal into exile. The French also devised a new
frontier for Lebanon that invited eventual disaster, as would become evident in
the 1970s and '80s. They refused to see that the Muslim population
was deeply hostile to their rule.
Churchill, meanwhile, was confronted by constant Arab disturbances
in Palestine. West of the Jordan River, where the Jewish population
lived, Arabs fought against Jewish immigration, claiming-wrongly, as the future
was to show-that the country was too barren to support more than its existing
600,000 inhabitants. Churchill rejected that view, and dealt with the Arab
objections to a Jewish homeland by keeping--though redefining-Britain's
commitment to Zionism. As he saw it, there was to be a Jewish homeland in
Palestine, but other homelands could exist there as well.
The 75 percent of Palestine east of the Jordan River
(Transjordan, as it was called, until it became Jordan in 1950) was lawless.
Lacking the troops to police it and wanting to avert additional causes of
strife, Churchill decided to forbid Jews from settling there, temporarily at
least.
Fittingly while still War and Air Minister, Churchill had devised a
strategy for controlling the Middle East with a
minimum number of British troops by using an economical combination of airpower
and armored cars. But it would take time for the necessary units to be put in
place. Meanwhile tribal fighting had to be contained somehow. As the Cairo
conference met, news arrived that Abdullah, Faisal's brother, claiming to need
"a change of air for his health," had left Arabia with a retinue of
bedouin warriors and entered Transjordan. The British feared that Abdullah
would attack French Syria and so give the French an excuse to invade
Transjordan, as a first step toward taking over all Palestine.
As a temporary expedient Churchill appointed Abdullah as governor of
a Transjordan to be administratively detached from the rest of Palestine. He
charged him with keeping order by his prestige and with his own bedouin
followers--at least until Britain's aircraft and armored cars were in place.
This provisional solution has lasted for seven decades and so have the borders
of Transjordan, now ruled over by Abdullah's grandson, Hussein the Hashemite
King of Jordan.
The appointment of Abdullah seemed to accomplish several objectives
at once. It went partway toward paying what Lawrence and others told Churchill
was Britain's wartime debt to the family of King Hussein, though Hussein
himself was beyond help. Too stubborn to accept British advice, he was losing
the battle for Arabia to his blood rival, Ibn Saud. Meanwhile Prince Faisal,
Britain's preferred Arab ruler, remained in idle exile.
Other chief items on the Cairo agenda were the Ottoman territories
running from the Persian Gulf to Turkey along the border of Persia, which make
up present-day Iraq. Including what were suspected-but not proved-to be vast
oil reserves, at a time when the value of oil was beginning to be understood,
these territories had been the scene of the bloodiest postwar Arab uprisings
against British rule. They caused so many difficulties of every sort that
Churchill flirted with the idea of abandoning them entirely, but Lloyd George
would have none of it. If the British left, the Prime Minister warned, in a
year or two they might find that they had "handed over to the French and
Americans some of the richest oil fields in the world."
As a matter of convenience, the British administered this troubled
region as a unit, though it was composed of the three separate Ottoman
provinces--Mosul, Baghdad and Basra, with their incompatible Kurdish, Assyrian
Christian, Jewish, Sunni Muslim, and Shiite populations. In
making it into a country, Churchill and his colleagues found it convenient to
continue treating it as a single unit. (One British planner was warned by an
American missionary, "You are flying in the face of four millenniums of history
. . .") The country was called Iraq--"the well-rooted
country"--in order to give it a name that was Arabic. Faisal was placed on
the throne by the British, and like his brother Abdullah in Transjordan, he was
supposed to keep Iraq quiet until the British were ready to police it with
aircraft and armored cars.
One of the leftover problems in 1921 was just how to protect
Transjordan's new governor, Abdullah, and Iraq's new king, Faisal, against the
fierce warriors of Ibn Saud. In August 1922 Ibn Saud's camel-cavalry forces
invading Transjordan were stopped outside Amman by British airplanes and
armored cars. Earlier that year, the British forced Ibn Saud to accept a
settlement aimed at protecting Iraq. With this in mind, the British drew a
frontier line that awarded Iraq a substantial amount of territory claimed by
Ibn Saud for Arabia: all the land (in what is now Iraq) west of the Euphrates
River, all the way to the Syrian frontier. To compensate Ibn Saud's kingdom
(later known as Saudi Arabia) the British transferred to it rights to
two-thirds of the territory of Kuwait, which had been essentially independent
for about two centuries. These were valuable grazing lands, in which oil might
exist too.
It is this frontier line between Iraq, Kuwait and Arabia, drawn by a
British civil servant in 1922 to protect Iraq at the expense of Kuwait, that
Iraq's Saddam Hussein denounced as invalid when he invaded.
In 1922, Churchill succeeded in mapping out the Arab Middle
East along lines suitable to the needs of the British civilian
and military administrations. T. E. Lawrence would later brag that he,
Churchill and a few others had designed the modern Middle East
over dinner. Seventy years later, in the tense deliberations and confrontations
of half the world over the same area, the question is whether the peoples of
the Middle East are willing or able to continue
living with that design.